Will David Pautsch be the Republican nominee for IA-01?

Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Will David Pautsch be the Republican nominee for IA-01?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Kalshi, closing November 3, 2027.

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5¢
Bid/Ask 0/5¢·Spread 5¢·Vol $0·OI $1·Closes Nov 3, 2027·561d remaining
KXIAPRIMARY-01R26-DPAU

Resolution rules

If David Pautsch wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the 2026 IA-01 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1236.8%
IY (No) 3.4%
Adj IY 0%
CRI 19
LAS 1.00
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)1236.8%
IY (No)3.4%
Adj IY0%
CRI19
LAS1.00

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
5¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 10:02:34 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 9:53:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXIAPRIMARY-01R26-DPAU yes 100

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