SimpleFunctions
KalshiNov 3, 2027543 days left

Will Democrats win exactly 47 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California?

This contract is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 17¢ bid, 25¢ ask, 8¢ spread.

Implied probability

16¢
$1K volume
$662 liquidity

Event outcomes

4

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

48 43¢

Ticker

KXCAHOUSEDEM-26NOV03-E47

Market snapshot

47 in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Democrats win exactly 47 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California?. The displayed quote is 16¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $1K. In the Will Democrats win family, this outcome ranks #2 of 4 by current quote across 4 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC.

Outcome

47

Family rank

#2 of 4

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

16¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Nov 3, 2027

Reported volume

$1K

Family context

4 outcomes · Will Democrats win

Quote range

8¢-43¢

Family leader

48 43¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 6:38 AM UTC · 10m ago

Venue identifier: KXCAHOUSEDEM-26NOV03-E47. Family volume: .

Price history

16¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 13, 2026May 4, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

17 / 25¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
100¢49
100¢1.3K
17¢70
16¢400
2¢28
AskSize
25¢500
68¢731
69¢200
98¢1.1K
98¢200

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the Democratic party has won exactly 47 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 3, 2027

Identifier

KXCAHOUSEDEM-26NOV03-E47

Event family

Will Democrats win.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

4

Highest price

48 43¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

328.0%

IY (No)

13.8%

Adj IY

164%

CRI

5

Overround

-0.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

328.0%
13.8%
Adj IY
164%
5
Overround
-0.2%

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