SimpleFunctions
KalshiNov 3, 2027543 days left

Will Democrats win exactly 48 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California?

This contract is priced at 43¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 43¢ bid, 45¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

43¢
$351 volume
$311 liquidity

Event outcomes

4

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

47 17¢

Ticker

KXCAHOUSEDEM-26NOV03-E48

Market snapshot

48 in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Democrats win exactly 48 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California?. The displayed quote is 43¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $351. In the Will Democrats win family, this outcome ranks #1 of 4 by current quote across 4 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

48

Family rank

#1 of 4

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

43¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Nov 3, 2027

Reported volume

$351

Family context

4 outcomes · Will Democrats win

Quote range

8¢-43¢

Family leader

48 43¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 12m ago

Venue identifier: KXCAHOUSEDEM-26NOV03-E48. Family volume: .

Price history

43¢ current

+1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 13, 2026Apr 23, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

43 / 45¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
43¢400
10¢35
9¢1.1K
9¢54
AskSize
45¢305
52¢400
94¢33
95¢161
96¢5.0K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the Democratic party has won exactly 48 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Nov 3, 2027

Identifier

KXCAHOUSEDEM-26NOV03-E48

Event family

Will Democrats win.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

4

Highest price

48 43¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

89.1%

IY (No)

50.7%

Adj IY

45%

CRI

1

Overround

-0.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

89.1%
50.7%
Adj IY
45%
1
Overround
-0.2%

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