Will Democrats win exactly 49 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California?
This contract is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 7¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
4
Family volume
$0
Best sibling
47 17¢
Ticker
KXCAHOUSEDEM-26NOV03-E49
Market snapshot
49 in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Democrats win exactly 49 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California?. The displayed quote is 11¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $23. In the Will Democrats win family, this outcome ranks #3 of 4 by current quote across 4 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
49
Family rank
#3 of 4
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
11¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Nov 3, 2027
Reported volume
$23
Family context
4 outcomes · Will Democrats win
Quote range
8¢-43¢
Family leader
48 43¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 12m ago
Venue identifier: KXCAHOUSEDEM-26NOV03-E49. Family volume: —.
Price history
11¢ current
Orderbook snapshot
9 / 16¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the Democratic party has won exactly 49 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Identifier
KXCAHOUSEDEM-26NOV03-E49
Event family
Will Democrats win.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
4
Highest price
48 43¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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