Donald Trump make between 100 and 119 Truth Social posts the week of May 24, 2026
100-119 is priced at 15¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 9 inside Will Donald Trump make.
Price history
15¢ current
+9¢Contract brief
If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from May 24, 2026 to May 30, 2026 is between 100 and 119, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
100-119
Rank
#3 of 9
Leader
120-139 21¢
Range
2¢-21¢
Family volume
$17K
Identifier
KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26MAY30-B109
May 26, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
15¢
Ask
16¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$1K
Family rank
#3 of 9
9 outcomes · Will Donald Trump make
Closes
May 31, 2026
Family volume
$17K
Orderbook snapshot
15 / 16¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from May 24, 2026 to May 30, 2026 is between 100 and 119, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 31, 2026
Identifier
KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26MAY30-B109
Event family
Will Donald Trump make.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$17K
Outcomes
9
Highest price
120-139 21¢
Current share
8%
120-139
kalshi · KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26MAY30-B129
140-159
kalshi · KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26MAY30-B149
100-119
kalshi · KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26MAY30-B109
160-179
kalshi · KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26MAY30-B169
180-199
kalshi · KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26MAY30-B189
>220
kalshi · KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26MAY30-T220
200-220
kalshi · KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26MAY30-B210
80-99
kalshi · KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26MAY30-B89
<80
kalshi · KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26MAY30-T80
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.