Donald Trump make between 120 and 139 Truth Social posts the week of May 24, 2026
120-139 is priced at 16¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 16¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 9 inside Will Donald Trump make.
Price history
16¢ current
+8¢Contract brief
If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from May 24, 2026 to May 30, 2026 is between 120 and 139, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
120-139
Rank
#1 of 9
Leader
120-139 15¢
Range
4¢-15¢
Family volume
$4K
Identifier
KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26MAY30-B129
May 25, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 6m ago
Implied probability
Bid
15¢
Ask
16¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$472
Family rank
#1 of 9
9 outcomes · Will Donald Trump make
Closes
May 31, 2026
Family volume
$4K
Orderbook snapshot
15 / 16¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump from May 24, 2026 to May 30, 2026 is between 120 and 139, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 31, 2026
Identifier
KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26MAY30-B129
Event family
Will Donald Trump make.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
9
Highest price
120-139 15¢
Current share
11%
120-139
kalshi · KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26MAY30-B129
>220
kalshi · KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26MAY30-T220
140-159
kalshi · KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26MAY30-B149
200-220
kalshi · KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26MAY30-B210
180-199
kalshi · KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26MAY30-B189
100-119
kalshi · KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26MAY30-B109
160-179
kalshi · KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26MAY30-B169
80-99
kalshi · KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26MAY30-B89
<80
kalshi · KXTRUTHSOCIAL-26MAY30-T80
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.