Will Donald Trump's approval rating be above 39.9% for May 21, 2026?
This contract is priced at 42¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 100¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$6K
Best sibling
—
Ticker
KXVOTEHUBTRUMPUPDOWN
Market snapshot
Will Donald Trump's approval rating be above 39.9% for May 21, 2026 in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Donald Trump's approval rating be above 39.9% for May 21, 2026?. The displayed quote is 42¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $5K. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 17, 2026, 1:54 AM UTC.
Outcome
Will Donald Trump's approval rating be above 39.9% for May 21, 2026
Family rank
—
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
42¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 22, 2026
24h volume
$5K
Family context
Standalone contract
Quote range
—
Family leader
—
Last updated
May 17, 2026, 1:54 AM UTC · 0m ago
Venue identifier: KXVOTEHUBTRUMPUPDOWN. Family volume: $6K.
Price history
42¢ current
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 100¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the VoteHub time-adjusted average for Donald Trump's approval rating is above 39.9% for May 21, 2026 (as checked at May 22, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET), then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 22, 2026
Identifier
KXVOTEHUBTRUMPUPDOWN
Event family
This market.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$6K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will Donald Trump's approval rating be above 39.9% for May 21, 2026 42¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.