Ecuador · KXWCROUND-26QUAR
Ecuador is priced at 18¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 3¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 16 inside KXWCROUND-26QUAR.
Price history
18¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If Ecuador is one of the teams to qualify for the Quarterfinals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Ecuador
Rank
#14 of 16
Leader
Spain 57¢
Range
6¢-57¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXWCROUND-26QUAR-ECU
May 25, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 28m ago
Implied probability
Bid
15¢
Ask
18¢
Spread
3¢
24h volume
$46
Family rank
#14 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWCROUND-26QUAR
Closes
Aug 3, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
15 / 18¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Ecuador is one of the teams to qualify for the Quarterfinals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 3, 2026
Identifier
KXWCROUND-26QUAR-ECU
Event family
KXWCROUND-26QUAR.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Spain 57¢
Current share
4%
Spain
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26QUAR-ESP
France
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26QUAR-FRA
England
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26QUAR-ENG
Argentina
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26QUAR-ARG
Brazil
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26QUAR-BRA
Portugal
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26QUAR-POR
Netherlands
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26QUAR-NED
Norway
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26QUAR-NOR
Mexico
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26QUAR-MEX
Colombia
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26QUAR-COL
USA
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26QUAR-USA
Japan
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26QUAR-JPN
Uruguay
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26QUAR-URU
Ecuador
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26QUAR-ECU
Senegal
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26QUAR-SEN
Korea Republic
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26QUAR-KOR
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.