England · KXWCROUND-26QUAR
England is priced at 57¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 51¢ bid, 56¢ ask, 5¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 16 inside KXWCROUND-26QUAR.
Price history
57¢ current
+1¢Contract brief
If England is one of the teams to qualify for the Quarterfinals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
England
Rank
#3 of 16
Leader
Spain 57¢
Range
6¢-57¢
Family volume
$4K
Identifier
KXWCROUND-26QUAR-ENG
May 24, 2026, 1:08 PM UTC · 12m ago
Implied probability
Bid
51¢
Ask
56¢
Spread
5¢
24h volume
$17
Family rank
#3 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWCROUND-26QUAR
Closes
Aug 3, 2026
Family volume
$4K
Orderbook snapshot
51 / 56¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If England is one of the teams to qualify for the Quarterfinals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 3, 2026
Identifier
KXWCROUND-26QUAR-ENG
Event family
KXWCROUND-26QUAR.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Spain 57¢
Current share
0%
Spain
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26QUAR-ESP
France
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26QUAR-FRA
England
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26QUAR-ENG
Argentina
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26QUAR-ARG
Germany
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26QUAR-GER
Norway
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26QUAR-NOR
Mexico
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26QUAR-MEX
Colombia
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26QUAR-COL
USA
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26QUAR-USA
Japan
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26QUAR-JPN
Ecuador
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26QUAR-ECU
Senegal
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26QUAR-SEN
Sweden
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26QUAR-SWE
Bosnia and Herzegovina
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26QUAR-BIH
Scotland
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26QUAR-SCO
Korea Republic
kalshi · KXWCROUND-26QUAR-KOR
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 57% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.