SimpleFunctions
KalshiAug 3, 202686 days left

Will Portugal qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?

This contract is priced at 50¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 46¢ bid, 48¢ ask, 2¢ spread.

Implied probability

50¢
$2K volume
$2K liquidity
508% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$462

Best sibling

France 55¢

Ticker

KXWCROUND-26QUAR-POR

Market snapshot

Portugal in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Portugal qualify for FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals?. The displayed quote is 50¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $2K. In the KXWCROUND-26QUAR family, this outcome ranks #3 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC.

Outcome

Portugal

Family rank

#3 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

50¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Aug 3, 2026

Reported volume

$2K

Family context

16 outcomes · KXWCROUND-26QUAR

Quote range

1¢-83¢

Family leader

Haiti 83¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 9:38 AM UTC · 6m ago

Venue identifier: KXWCROUND-26QUAR-POR. Family volume: $462.

Price history

50¢ current

+3¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 5, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

46 / 48¢

Kalshi
2¢ spread
BidSize
46¢20
38¢550
34¢116
33¢50
22¢16
AskSize
48¢8
49¢555
61¢428
68¢46
69¢1.0K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Portugal is one of the teams to qualify for the Quarterfinals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Aug 3, 2026

Identifier

KXWCROUND-26QUAR-POR

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

497.2%

IY (No)

360.8%

Adj IY

238%

CRI

1

Overround

6.8%

LAS

0.04

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

497.2%
360.8%
Adj IY
238%
1
Overround
6.8%
LAS
0.04

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