SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 20, 2027256 days left

Will Georgia have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections?

This contract is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 15¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

20¢
$4K volume
$3K liquidity

Event outcomes

13

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

Maine 1¢

Ticker

KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-GA

Market snapshot

Georgia in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Georgia have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections?. The displayed quote is 20¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $4K. In the KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20 family, this outcome ranks #1 of 13 by current quote across 13 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 11:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

Georgia

Family rank

#1 of 13

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

20¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 20, 2027

Reported volume

$4K

Family context

13 outcomes · KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20

Quote range

1¢-15¢

Family leader

Georgia 15¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 11:23 AM UTC · 3m ago

Venue identifier: KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-GA. Family volume: .

Price history

20¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 9, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

15 / 19¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
15¢124
12¢500
3¢1.0K
3¢52
3¢30
AskSize
19¢762
20¢500
34¢30
36¢190
37¢500

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Georgia has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States gubernatorial elections as of Jan 20, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 20, 2027

Identifier

KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-GA

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

808.8%

IY (No)

25.2%

Adj IY

404%

CRI

6

Overround

-0.3%

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

political

Full indicator table

808.8%
25.2%
Adj IY
404%
6
Overround
-0.3%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

Blogpolitics

US Midterm Elections 2026 Prediction Markets: Trading the Battle for Congress

A deep‑dive guide for prediction market traders on the 2026 US midterm elections: House and Senate control odds, key races, Trump’s impact, economic and approval scenarios, polling accuracy, and data‑driven trading strategies.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index