Will Michigan have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections?
This contract is priced at 11¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 6¢ bid, 7¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
13
Family volume
$0
Best sibling
Maine 1¢
Ticker
KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-MI
Market snapshot
Michigan in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Michigan have the smallest margin of victory in 2026 United States gubernatorial elections?. The displayed quote is 11¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $2K. In the KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20 family, this outcome ranks #5 of 13 by current quote across 13 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
Michigan
Family rank
#5 of 13
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
11¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jan 20, 2027
Reported volume
$2K
Family context
13 outcomes · KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20
Quote range
1¢-15¢
Family leader
Wisconsin 15¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 4:23 AM UTC · 2m ago
Venue identifier: KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-MI. Family volume: —.
Price history
11¢ current
+6¢Orderbook snapshot
6 / 7¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Michigan has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States gubernatorial elections as of Jan 20, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 20, 2027
Identifier
KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-MI
Event family
KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
13
Highest price
Wisconsin 15¢
Current share
—
Michigan
kalshi · KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-MI
Maine
kalshi · KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-ME
New Mexico
kalshi · KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-NM
New York
kalshi · KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-NY
Pennsylvania
kalshi · KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-PA
Arizona
kalshi · KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-AZ
Wisconsin
kalshi · KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-WI
Kansas
kalshi · KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-KS
Georgia
kalshi · KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-GA
Nevada
kalshi · KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-NV
Iowa
kalshi · KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-IA
New Hampshire
kalshi · KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-NH
Ohio
kalshi · KXCLOSESTGOVERNOR-27JAN20-OH
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
taker
Score
0.636
Observability
direct
Event type
political
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Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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