Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?
This contract is priced at 94¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 92¢ bid, 95¢ ask, 3¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
2
Family volume
$2K
Best sibling
Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections 5¢
Ticker
0x847e9fb7…4f7d
Price history
94¢ current
+6¢Orderbook snapshot
92 / 95¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
United Kingdom local elections are currently scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Green Party candidate wins a mayorship as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A candidate will be considered an official candidate of the Green Party if they are officially nominated by the Green Party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with the Green Party. Independent candidates will not count for any party. Only the following mayoral elections scheduled to be held on May 7, 2026, will qualify for this market: Croydon, Hackney, Lewisham, Newham, Tower Hamlets, and/or Watford. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. If the results of any of the relevant elections aren’t known by April 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the respective council government.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 7, 2026
Identifier
0x847e9fb7…4f7d
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at 90¢, +4¢ versus this page.
Event family
Related outcomes.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$2K
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections 94¢
Current share
97%
Will Green Party win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections
polymarket · 0x847e9fb7f4a6a7efc1f36957fd62c3878d062450f5febe162bdfc880361a4f7d
Will Reform win a mayorship in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections
polymarket · 0xb8324a1373f4d2cf77143486d0f4018bc6fe79d034b207fc62473aeced5277d2
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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