SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 26, 2027382 days left

Will Ken Paxton win El Paso County?

This contract is priced at 35¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 32¢ bid, 40¢ ask, 8¢ spread.

Implied probability

35¢
$5K volume
$1K liquidity

Event outcomes

6

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

Harris 63¢

Ticker

KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-SENATETXR26-ELP

Market snapshot

El Paso in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Ken Paxton win El Paso County?. The displayed quote is 35¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $5K. In the Will Ken Paxton win family, this outcome ranks #4 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

El Paso

Family rank

#4 of 6

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

35¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 26, 2027

Reported volume

$5K

Family context

6 outcomes · Will Ken Paxton win

Quote range

6¢-63¢

Family leader

Harris 63¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 7:23 AM UTC · 11m ago

Venue identifier: KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-SENATETXR26-ELP. Family volume: .

Price history

35¢ current

7¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 9, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

32 / 40¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
32¢100
31¢200
13¢57
12¢180
10¢842
AskSize
40¢102
42¢200
92¢25
92¢29
92¢41

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Ken Paxton wins the the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff in El Paso County, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 26, 2027

Identifier

KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-SENATETXR26-ELP

Event family

Will Ken Paxton win.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

6

Highest price

Harris 63¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

202.9%

IY (No)

44.9%

Adj IY

101%

CRI

2

Overround

1.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

202.9%
44.9%
Adj IY
101%
2
Overround
1.0%

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