Will Ken Paxton win Tarrant County?
This contract is priced at 36¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 36¢ bid, 44¢ ask, 8¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
6
Family volume
$2
Best sibling
Travis 6¢
Ticker
KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-SENATETXR26-TAR
Market snapshot
Tarrant in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Ken Paxton win Tarrant County?. The displayed quote is 36¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $1K. In the Will Ken Paxton win family, this outcome ranks #3 of 6 by current quote across 6 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.
Outcome
Tarrant
Family rank
#3 of 6
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
36¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until May 26, 2027
Reported volume
$1K
Family context
6 outcomes · Will Ken Paxton win
Quote range
6¢-63¢
Family leader
Harris 63¢
Last updated
May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 6m ago
Venue identifier: KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-SENATETXR26-TAR. Family volume: $2.
Price history
36¢ current
−8¢Orderbook snapshot
36 / 44¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Ken Paxton wins the the 2026 Texas Republican Senate runoff in Tarrant County, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
May 26, 2027
Identifier
KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-SENATETXR26-TAR
Event family
Will Ken Paxton win.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$2
Outcomes
6
Highest price
Harris 63¢
Current share
0%
Tarrant
kalshi · KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-SENATETXR26-TAR
Travis
kalshi · KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-SENATETXR26-TRA
Harris
kalshi · KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-SENATETXR26-HAR
Bexar
kalshi · KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-SENATETXR26-BEX
Dallas
kalshi · KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-SENATETXR26-DAL
El Paso
kalshi · KXPRIMARYCOUNTY-SENATETXR26-ELP
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
Odds pages
Related prediction questions
Related readings
Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)
Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?
In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.
Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity
How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.
Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity
Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.
US Midterm Elections 2026 Prediction Markets: Trading the Battle for Congress
A deep‑dive guide for prediction market traders on the 2026 US midterm elections: House and Senate control odds, key races, Trump’s impact, economic and approval scenarios, polling accuracy, and data‑driven trading strategies.
Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets
Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.
SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 36% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.