SimpleFunctions
KalshiDec 26, 2026231 days left

Will Kendrick Lamar have a top 10 song this year?

This contract is priced at 46¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 29¢ bid, 47¢ ask, 18¢ spread.

Implied probability

46¢
$605 volume
$566 liquidity
672% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$90

Best sibling

Future 47¢

Ticker

KX10SONG-26-KEN

Market snapshot

Kendrick Lamar in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Kendrick Lamar have a top 10 song this year?. The displayed quote is 46¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $605. In the KX10SONG-26 family, this outcome ranks #5 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 9:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

Kendrick Lamar

Family rank

#5 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

46¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 26, 2026

Reported volume

$605

Family context

16 outcomes · KX10SONG-26

Quote range

1¢-99¢

Family leader

Olivia Rodrigo 99¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 9:53 AM UTC · 3m ago

Venue identifier: KX10SONG-26-KEN. Family volume: $90.

Price history

46¢ current

+18¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 15, 2026May 9, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

29 / 47¢

Kalshi
18¢ spread
BidSize
29¢200
17¢48
16¢200
15¢1.0K
10¢1.5K
AskSize
47¢200
76¢55
77¢187
78¢288
97¢50

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Kendrick Lamar has a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 26, 2026

Identifier

KX10SONG-26-KEN

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

386.5%

IY (No)

64.5%

Adj IY

147%

CRI

2

RV

316%

VR

1.64

Regime

neutral

Score

0.341

Observability

low

Event type

cultural

Full indicator table

386.5%
64.5%
Adj IY
147%
2
RV
316%
VR
1.64
IAR
1.0/h
Overround
15.7%
LAS
0.62

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