KATSEYE · KX10SONG-26
KATSEYE is priced at 45¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 35¢ bid, 47¢ ask, 12¢ spread. This outcome ranks #5 of 16 inside KX10SONG-26.
Price history
45¢ current
+20¢Contract brief
If KATSEYE has a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
KATSEYE
Rank
#5 of 16
Leader
Mariah Carey 94¢
Range
1¢-94¢
Family volume
$493
Identifier
KX10SONG-26-KAT
Aug 1, 2026, 1:08 AM UTC · 26m ago
Implied probability
Bid
35¢
Ask
47¢
Spread
12¢
Reported volume
$3K
Family rank
#5 of 16
16 outcomes · KX10SONG-26
Closes
Dec 26, 2026
Family volume
$493
Orderbook snapshot
35 / 47¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If KATSEYE has a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 26, 2026
Identifier
KX10SONG-26-KAT
Event family
KX10SONG-26.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$493
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Mariah Carey 94¢
Current share
0%
Mariah Carey
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-MAR
Beyoncé
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-BEY
The Weeknd
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-WEE
Billie Eilish
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-BIL
KATSEYE
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-KAT
21 Savage
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-21S
Lil Baby
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-BAB
Lil Uzi Vert
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-UZI
A$AP Rocky
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-ASA
Benson Boone
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-BEN
Gracie Abrams
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-GRA
2 Chainz
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-2CH
Addison Rae
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-ADD
Bebe Rexha
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-BEB
Anuel AA
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-ANU
Big Sean
kalshi · KX10SONG-26-BIG
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.