SimpleFunctions

Kanye West / Ye · KX10SONG-26

Kanye West / Ye is priced at 9¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 12¢ bid, 18¢ ask, 6¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 16 inside KX10SONG-26.

Price history

9¢ current

13¢
10¢20¢30¢
May 23, 2026Jun 22, 2026

Contract brief

If Kanye West / Ye has a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Kanye West / Ye

Rank

#10 of 16

Leader

Beyoncé 58¢

Range

1¢-58¢

Family volume

$966

Identifier

KX10SONG-26-KAN

Jun 23, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 7m ago

Implied probability

9¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 23, 2026, 1:38 AM UTC · 7m ago

Bid

12¢

Ask

18¢

Spread

24h volume

$917

Family rank

#10 of 16

16 outcomes · KX10SONG-26

Closes

Dec 26, 2026

Family volume

$966

Orderbook snapshot

12 / 18¢

Kalshi
6¢ spread
BidSize
12¢200
9¢1.5K
8¢399
3¢211
2¢1.4K
AskSize
18¢1
19¢32
20¢200
27¢100
38¢450

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Kanye West / Ye has a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 26, 2026

Identifier

KX10SONG-26-KAN

SF Signal
SF Index
717.39
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1434.8%

IY (No)

26.7%

Adj IY

717%

CRI

7

Overround

14.2%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

cultural

Full indicator table

1434.8%
26.7%
Adj IY
717%
7
Overround
14.2%

Odds pages

Related prediction questions

Browse odds

Related readings

Matched from SimpleFunctions blog, opinions, technical guides, concepts, and learn pages.

Browse library
Blogmarkets

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Which Prediction Market Should You Trade?

In-depth comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket for prediction market traders. Regulatory structure, liquidity, fees, API tooling, and cross-venue trading with SimpleFunctions.

Opinioncomparison

Kalshi vs Polymarket: Mechanics, Fees, Regulation, Liquidity (2026)

Side-by-side comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket in 2026. Fee math, calibration data, withdrawal speed, and a decision tree for picking the right venue.

Blogmarkets

Prediction Market Orderbook Analysis: Reading Depth, Spread, and Liquidity

How to read prediction market orderbooks. Binary settlement, spread-as-percentage, depth asymmetry, executable edge calculation, and cross-venue arbitrage analysis.

Technicalguide

Kalshi vs Polymarket: A Developer's Comparison of APIs, Orderbooks, and Liquidity

Data-driven comparison of Kalshi and Polymarket APIs, orderbooks, rate limits, and liquidity. Code examples for building on both prediction markets.

Opinionanalysis

Information Finance Has Arrived: A Material Map of Prediction Markets in Q2 2026

Combined Kalshi + Polymarket volume hit $66B in just four months of 2026 — already greater than the entire 2025 industry total. Bernstein projects $1T by 2030. Two venues hold 95% of US share. The distribution layer fragmented across nine retail surfaces. AI agents are 30% of Polymarket wallet activ

Opinionanalysis

Liquidity Availability Is the Real Edge in Prediction Markets

Implied yield, cliff risk, and overround all describe what to trade. Liquidity Availability Score describes whether the orderbook can absorb the trade. Why LAS is the indicator that decides who actually books P&L.

SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.