SimpleFunctions
KalshiDec 26, 2026

Will Olivia Rodrigo have a top 10 song this year?

This contract is priced at 99¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 99¢ bid, 100¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

99¢
$2K volume
$2K liquidity
1851% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$90

Best sibling

Future 48¢

Ticker

KX10SONG-26-OLIV

Market snapshot

Olivia Rodrigo in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Olivia Rodrigo have a top 10 song this year?. The displayed quote is 99¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $9. In the KX10SONG-26 family, this outcome ranks #1 of 16 by current quote across 16 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 6:01 AM UTC.

Outcome

Olivia Rodrigo

Family rank

#1 of 16

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

99¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Dec 26, 2026

24h volume

$9

Family context

16 outcomes · KX10SONG-26

Quote range

1¢-99¢

Family leader

Olivia Rodrigo 99¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 6:01 AM UTC · 0m ago

Venue identifier: KX10SONG-26-OLIV. Family volume: $90.

Price history

99¢ current

+1¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 13, 2026Apr 23, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

99 / 100¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
99¢20K
98¢500
93¢200
90¢100
86¢500
AskSize

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Olivia Rodrigo has a top 10 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Dec 26, 2026

Identifier

KX10SONG-26-OLIV

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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