What is the current probability for "Will Lavked win the Rebels Gaming vs. Lavked CS2 match?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 99¢ (99% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 14, 2026. 14 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Lavked win the Rebels Gaming vs. Lavked CS2 match?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 740.1% and 9302.6% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Lavked win the Rebels Gaming vs. Lavked CS2 match?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Lavked win the Rebels Gaming vs. Lavked CS2 match?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 99% probability that Will Lavked win the Rebels Gaming vs. Lavked CS2 match?. This contract trades at 99¢ on Kalshi, closing May 14, 2026.

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99¢

Bid/Ask 99/100¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $2,551.93·OI $1,867.62·Closes May 14, 2026·14d remaining

KXCS2GAME-26APR301300RBLSLAV-LAV

7-day price45 snapshots · 3 regime

99¢99¢ current

Apr 2918¢Apr 30

Resolution rules

If Lavked wins the ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 2026: Rebels Gaming vs. Lavked CS2 match originally scheduled for Apr 30, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 740.1%

IY (No) 9302.6%

Adj IY 8587%

CRI 4

RV 15122%

VR 18.45

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	740.1%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	9302.6%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	8587%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	4	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	15122%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	18.45	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	2.0/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
LAS	0.08	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/30/2026, 7:16:42 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/30/2026, 7:08:09 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXCS2GAME-26APR301300RBLSLAV-LAV yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →