Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?

Prediction markets currently give a 27% probability that Will Elaine Pelino win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?. This contract trades at 27¢ on Polymarket, closing September 8, 2026.

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27¢
Bid/Ask 22/32¢·Spread 10¢·Vol $0·OI $3,123.044·Closes Sep 8, 2026·139d remaining
0xc379c4b420b00afd99e427ccc93da241459fd858d79d61190ad091ae114185b7
7-day price700 snapshots · 3 regime
36¢28¢ current
Apr 824¢Apr 21
Cross-venue

Also on kalshi at 32¢-5¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.92IY 153.7%Close-time delta 8774h

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Rhode Island, scheduled to take place on September 8, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 674.5%
IY (No) 102.0%
Adj IY 337%
CRI 3
Overround -0.1%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)674.5%
IY (No)102.0%
Adj IY337%
CRI3
Overround-0.1%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
10¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 8:28:15 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 8:23:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarketsf trade 0xc379c4b420b00afd99e427ccc93da241459fd858d79d61190ad091ae114185b7 yes 100

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