Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
This contract is priced at 94¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 92¢ bid, 94¢ ask, 2¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$84K
Best sibling
—
Ticker
0x160dbfb7…cf81
Price history
94¢ current
+3¢Orderbook snapshot
92 / 94¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
The 2026 FIFA World Cup is a major soccer tournament held from June 11 to July 19, 2026, with games at multiple stadiums across North America. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lionel Messi takes the field as a player in at least one official match for Argentina during the 2026 FIFA World Cup at the group stage or later. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any on-field appearance as a player will qualify, in regulation, stoppage time, extra time, for a shootout, etc. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jul 19, 2026
Identifier
0x160dbfb7…cf81
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at 87¢, +7¢ versus this page.
Event family
This market.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$84K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup 94¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
sports
Odds pages
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Prediction Market Index
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Market Screener
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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