Will Middle of Nowhere have at least 40,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Middle of Nowhere?

Prediction markets currently give a 94% probability that Will Middle of Nowhere have at least 40,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the w.... This contract trades at 94¢ on Kalshi, closing May 8, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price potentially unreliable despite the astronomical 5,316% risk-adjusted implied yield on the No side.

██████████████████████████████████████░░
94¢mid
Bid/Ask 88/100¢·Spread 12¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 8, 2026·16d remaining
KXALBUMSALES-MID-ACT-40000
7-day price9 snapshots · 2 regime
87¢1¢ current
Apr 81¢Apr 20

Analysis

4d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 0¢ price potentially unreliable despite the astronomical 5,316% risk-adjusted implied yield on the No side. The 14¢ spread is unusually wide for such a binary outcome, and the recent 3-cent price movement (83¢ to 86¢) over seven days suggests minimal trading activity rather than genuine probability shifts. With only 21 days until expiry and no clear catalyst or comparable data on Kacey Musgraves' typical chart performance, this market appears to be a ghost listing with insufficient liquidity to trade meaningfully.

Resolution rules

If Middle of Nowhere by Kacey Musgraves has at least 40,000 Activity (Combined Sales) on the Hits Daily Double Top 50 Chart for the week immediately following the wide release of Middle of Nowhere, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 306.0%
IY (No) 16457.6%
Adj IY 8229%
CRI 7
Overround 7.1%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)306.0%
IY (No)16457.6%
Adj IY8229%
CRI7
Overround7.1%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
12¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 9:41:44 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 9:38:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXALBUMSALES-MID-ACT-40000 yes 100

Related concepts