Will Milwaukee win the 2026 Pro Baseball National League Championship?
Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Will Milwaukee win the 2026 Pro Baseball National League Championship?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Kalshi, closing October 31, 2028. The Brewers contract is pricing in a 6% championship probability with an extraordinarily high 943.8% implied yield on the Yes side, reflecting the long 928-day time horizon and minimal current price.
Analysis
The Brewers contract is pricing in a 6% championship probability with an extraordinarily high 943.8% implied yield on the Yes side, reflecting the long 928-day time horizon and minimal current price. Volume remains modest at $7,133 over 24 hours against $49,514 open interest, suggesting limited liquidity for a market this far out, while the recent price decline from 5¢ to 4¢ indicates slight bearish pressure. The 24 Cliff Risk Index warrants attention—this elevated score suggests potential for sharp repricing around key events like the 2025 season or trade deadline.
Resolution rules
If Milwaukee win the 2026 Pro Baseball National League Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXMLBNL-26-MIL yes 100