What is the current probability for "Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $110 end of April?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 90¢ (90% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on April 30, 2026. 8 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $110 end of April?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 500.8% and 40565.6% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $110 end of April?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $110 end of April?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 90% probability that Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $110 end of April?. This contract trades at 90¢ on Polymarket, closing April 30, 2026.

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90¢

Bid/Ask 80/100¢·Spread 20¢·Vol $0·OI $986.564·Closes Apr 30, 2026·8d remaining

0xaee52ec49e67e3f5c63cff263f9fd760a79bda8a3ab0e66ebdb02c2c0da1e616

7-day price7 snapshots · 4 regime

99¢90¢ current

Apr 1990¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of April 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the NVIDIA (NVDA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/NVDA/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 500.8%

IY (No) 40565.6%

Adj IY 15776%

CRI 9

Overround 4.3%

LAS 0.22

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	500.8%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	40565.6%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	15776%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	9	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	4.3%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.22	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/21/2026, 9:40:04 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 9:38:18 PM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0xaee52ec49e67e3f5c63cff263f9fd760a79bda8a3ab0e66ebdb02c2c0da1e616 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →