SimpleFunctions
KalshiMay 27, 202616 days left

Will over 3.5 goals be scored?

By SimpleFunctions· Last verified 11 May 2026Methodology

This contract is priced at 45¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 40¢ bid, 45¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

45¢
$1 volume
$1 liquidity
100% of event volume

Event outcomes

4

Family volume

$1

Best sibling

Over 1.5 goals scored 84¢

Ticker

KXMLSTOTAL-26MAY13NYRBCLB-3

Market snapshot

Over 3.5 goals scored in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will over 3.5 goals be scored?. The displayed quote is 45¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $1. In the KXMLSTOTAL-26MAY13NYRBCLB family, this outcome ranks #3 of 4 by current quote across 4 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 9:23 PM UTC.

Outcome

Over 3.5 goals scored

Family rank

#3 of 4

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

45¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until May 27, 2026

24h volume

$1

Family context

4 outcomes · KXMLSTOTAL-26MAY13NYRBCLB

Quote range

22¢-84¢

Family leader

Over 1.5 goals scored 84¢

Last updated

May 11, 2026, 9:23 PM UTC · 3m ago

Venue identifier: KXMLSTOTAL-26MAY13NYRBCLB-3. Family volume: $1.

Price history

45¢ current

+43¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 8, 2026May 11, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

40 / 45¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
40¢13
39¢641
38¢1.2K
37¢2.2K
36¢1.2K
AskSize
45¢183
46¢302
47¢471
48¢2.2K
49¢1.2K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Columbus and New York RB collectively score more than 3.5 total goals in the New York RB vs Columbus professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

May 27, 2026

Identifier

KXMLSTOTAL-26MAY13NYRBCLB-3

SF Signal
SF Index
3403.16
Regime
neutral

Event family

KXMLSTOTAL-26MAY13NYRBCLB.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$1

Outcomes

4

Highest price

Over 1.5 goals scored 84¢

Current share

100%

Browse this series

MLS Match Goals Total Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXMLSTOTAL series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

3403.2%

IY (No)

1512.5%

Adj IY

3403%

CRI

2

RV

4785%

VR

1.87

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

3403.2%
1512.5%
Adj IY
3403%
2
RV
4785%
VR
1.87
IAR
1.4/h
Overround
1.1%

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.