Will Palantir Technologies Inc. report above 1000 total customers in Q1 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 84% probability that Will Palantir Technologies Inc. report above 1000 total customers in Q1 2026?. This contract trades at 84¢ on Kalshi, closing June 3, 2026. The market has rallied sharply from 59¢ to 68¢ over seven days, reflecting growing confidence that Palantir will exceed 1,000 total customers by Q1 2026, though the extremely high implied yield on the No side (1621%) suggests the market may be pricing in tail risk or illiquidity concerns.
Analysis
The market has rallied sharply from 59¢ to 68¢ over seven days, reflecting growing confidence that Palantir will exceed 1,000 total customers by Q1 2026, though the extremely high implied yield on the No side (1621%) suggests the market may be pricing in tail risk or illiquidity concerns. With only $47.55 in 24-hour volume against $2,190.79 open interest and a tight 1¢ spread, liquidity is notably thin for a contract expiring in 48 days, which could amplify price swings as we approach resolution. The 69¢ price appears reasonable given Palantir's historical customer growth trajectory, but traders should be cautious of the low volume environment, which may not reflect true consensus pricing.
Resolution rules
If Palantir Technologies Inc. reports above 1000 total customers in Q1 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Trade
sf trade KXPLTR-26MAYCUST-1000 yes 100