Will Palantir Technologies Inc. report above 960 total customers in Q1 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 97% probability that Will Palantir Technologies Inc. report above 960 total customers in Q1 2026?. This contract trades at 97¢ on Kalshi, closing June 3, 2026. This market is heavily skewed toward a Yes resolution at 93¢, reflecting strong confidence that Palantir will exceed 960 customers by Q1 2026, yet the $0 24-hour volume and minimal $162 open interest signal severe illiquidity that makes the price potentially unreliable.
Analysis
This market is heavily skewed toward a Yes resolution at 93¢, reflecting strong confidence that Palantir will exceed 960 customers by Q1 2026, yet the $0 24-hour volume and minimal $162 open interest signal severe illiquidity that makes the price potentially unreliable. The extreme 10,134.8% implied yield on the No side is a classic illiquidity artifact—the spread is wide at 6¢, and with only 48 days to expiration, any meaningful new information about Palantir's customer trajectory could trigger sharp repricing in a thin market.
Resolution rules
If Palantir Technologies Inc. reports above 960 total customers in Q1 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXPLTR-26MAYCUST-960 yes 100