Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
This contract is priced at 11¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 10¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
3
Family volume
$5.7M
Best sibling
June 30 3¢
Ticker
0x2f224fca…519d
Price history
11¢ current
−4¢Orderbook snapshot
10 / 11¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0x2f224fca…519d
Event family
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$5.7M
Outcomes
3
Highest price
December 31 11¢
Current share
21%
December 31
polymarket · 0x2f224fca80a6a6b3a2a200406473fc8b33da6bcf5af83dc3fe9021a541c0519d
June 30
polymarket · 0x43272c02b8407ed3f8d5b04fb4cb132d7a59c5df6ecc423afcf66f1c778d1887
May 31
polymarket · 0xcfeec50a34d9429bfdc60d180f391b828924b88bd40c5b2361a43b7375b7a533
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.364
Observability
low
Event type
political
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