SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 2027243 days left

Will Reza Pahlavi visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

This contract is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 24¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

24¢
$12K volume
$3K liquidity
2194% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$547

Best sibling

Xi Jinping 58¢

Ticker

KXWHVISIT-27-RPAH

Price history

24¢ current

9¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

24 / 29¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
24¢6
23¢20
22¢100
21¢325
20¢134
AskSize
29¢17
30¢100
32¢200
70¢3
75¢3

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Reza Pahlavi visits the White House after Jan 15, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXWHVISIT-27-RPAH

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

475.5%

IY (No)

47.4%

Adj IY

376%

CRI

3

RV

285%

VR

1.28

Regime

neutral

Score

0.409

Observability

medium

Event type

political

Full indicator table

475.5%
47.4%
Adj IY
376%
3
RV
285%
VR
1.28
IAR
0.4/h
Overround
8.4%
LAS
0.21

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