Reza Pahlavi · KXWHVISIT-27
Reza Pahlavi is priced at 20¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 20¢ bid, 24¢ ask, 4¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside KXWHVISIT-27.
Price history
20¢ current
−1¢Contract brief
If Reza Pahlavi visits the White House after Jan 15, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Reza Pahlavi
Rank
#6 of 16
Leader
Elon Musk 60¢
Range
3¢-60¢
Family volume
$172
Identifier
KXWHVISIT-27-RPAH
Jun 17, 2026, 2:08 PM UTC · 25m ago
Implied probability
Bid
20¢
Ask
24¢
Spread
4¢
24h volume
$122
Family rank
#6 of 16
16 outcomes · KXWHVISIT-27
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$172
Orderbook snapshot
20 / 24¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Reza Pahlavi visits the White House after Jan 15, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXWHVISIT-27-RPAH
Event family
KXWHVISIT-27.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$172
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Elon Musk 60¢
Current share
71%
Elon Musk
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-EMUS
Hakeem Jeffries
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-HJEF
Abdel Fattah al-Sisi
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-AALS
Claudia Sheinbaum
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-CSHE
Jaxson Dart
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-JDAR
Reza Pahlavi
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-RPAH
Abiy Ahmed
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-AAHM
Bill Maher
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-BMAH
Cristiano Ronaldo
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-CRON
Gavin Newsom
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-GNEW
Eric Adams
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-EADA
Bola Ahmed Tinubu
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-BTIN
Hun Manet
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-HMAN
Jerome Powell
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-JPOW
Anutin Charnvirakul
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-ACHA
Joe Biden
kalshi · KXWHVISIT-27-JBID
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.409
Observability
medium
Event type
political
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.