SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 2027243 days left

Will Bill Maher visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

This contract is priced at 18¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 18¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 4¢ spread.

Implied probability

18¢
$2K volume
$843 liquidity
297% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$547

Best sibling

Xi Jinping 58¢

Ticker

KXWHVISIT-27-BMAH

Price history

18¢ current

5¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026Apr 30, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

18 / 22¢

Kalshi
4¢ spread
BidSize
18¢7
17¢94
16¢100
14¢200
3¢33
AskSize
22¢35
24¢100
25¢200
55¢300
64¢882

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Bill Maher visits the White House after Dec 9, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXWHVISIT-27-BMAH

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

684.1%

IY (No)

33.0%

Adj IY

266%

CRI

5

Overround

8.4%

LAS

0.22

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

684.1%
33.0%
Adj IY
266%
5
Overround
8.4%
LAS
0.22

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