SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 2027243 days left

Will Mark Carney visit the White House before Jan 1, 2027?

This contract is priced at 70¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 70¢ bid, 71¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

70¢
$4K volume
$2K liquidity
787% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$547

Best sibling

Xi Jinping 58¢

Ticker

KXWHVISIT-27-MCAR

Price history

70¢ current

3¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 14, 2026May 2, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

70 / 71¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
70¢258
68¢320
65¢105
60¢100
59¢100
AskSize
71¢300
95¢40
95¢29
99¢200
99¢2.0K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Mark Carney visits the White House after Dec 9, 2025 and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXWHVISIT-27-MCAR

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

64.4%

IY (No)

350.4%

Adj IY

173%

CRI

2

Overround

8.4%

LAS

0.01

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

64.4%
350.4%
Adj IY
173%
2
Overround
8.4%
LAS
0.01

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