Ruben Neves · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM
Ruben Neves is priced at 23¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 22¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 16 inside KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM.
Price history
23¢ current
+10¢Contract brief
If Ruben Neves transfers out of Al-Hilal before Sep 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Ruben Neves
Rank
#10 of 16
Leader
Antoine Griezmann 99¢
Range
1¢-99¢
Family volume
$228
Identifier
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-RNEV
May 26, 2026, 12:08 PM UTC · 20m ago
Implied probability
Bid
13¢
Ask
22¢
Spread
9¢
Reported volume
$258
Family rank
#10 of 16
16 outcomes · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM
Closes
Sep 15, 2026
Family volume
$228
Orderbook snapshot
13 / 22¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Ruben Neves transfers out of Al-Hilal before Sep 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 15, 2026
Identifier
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-RNEV
Event family
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$228
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Antoine Griezmann 99¢
Current share
0%
Antoine Griezmann
kalshi · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-AGRI
Leon Goretzka
kalshi · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-LGOR
Mohammed Salah
kalshi · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-MSAL
Robert Lewandowski
kalshi · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-RLOW
Bernardo Silva
kalshi · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-BSIL
Julian Brandt
kalshi · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-JBRA
Dusan Vlahovic
kalshi · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-DVLA
Richarlison
kalshi · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-RICH
Bradley Barcola
kalshi · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-BBAR
Ruben Neves
kalshi · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-RNEV
Mike Maignan
kalshi · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-MMAG
Dayot Upamecano
kalshi · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-DUPA
Bruno Fernandes
kalshi · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-BFER
Harry Kane
kalshi · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-HKAN
Lionel Messi
kalshi · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-LMES
Kobbie Mainoo
kalshi · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-KMAI
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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Prediction Market Index
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Event Probability API
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Realtime Data API
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Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.