Harry Kane · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM
Harry Kane is priced at 19¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 9¢ bid, 19¢ ask, 10¢ spread. This outcome ranks #15 of 16 inside KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM.
Price history
19¢ current
+18¢Contract brief
If Harry Kane transfers out of Bayern before Sep 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Harry Kane
Rank
#15 of 16
Leader
Antoine Griezmann 99¢
Range
1¢-99¢
Family volume
$224
Identifier
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-HKAN
May 26, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
9¢
Ask
19¢
Spread
10¢
Reported volume
$490
Family rank
#15 of 16
16 outcomes · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM
Closes
Sep 15, 2026
Family volume
$224
Orderbook snapshot
9 / 19¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Harry Kane transfers out of Bayern before Sep 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Sep 15, 2026
Identifier
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-HKAN
Event family
KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$224
Outcomes
16
Highest price
Antoine Griezmann 99¢
Current share
0%
Antoine Griezmann
kalshi · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-AGRI
Leon Goretzka
kalshi · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-LGOR
Mohammed Salah
kalshi · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-MSAL
Robert Lewandowski
kalshi · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-RLOW
Bernardo Silva
kalshi · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-BSIL
Julian Brandt
kalshi · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-JBRA
Dusan Vlahovic
kalshi · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-DVLA
Richarlison
kalshi · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-RICH
Bradley Barcola
kalshi · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-BBAR
Scott McTominay
kalshi · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-SMCT
Rodrygo
kalshi · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-RODR
Ruben Neves
kalshi · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-RNEV
Mike Maignan
kalshi · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-MMAG
Dayot Upamecano
kalshi · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-DUPA
Harry Kane
kalshi · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-HKAN
Kobbie Mainoo
kalshi · KXSOCCERTRANSFER-26SUM-KMAI
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
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Event Probability API
Read 19% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.