Will SpaceX land anything on Mars before 2030?
This contract is priced at 31¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 28¢ bid, 32¢ ask, 4¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
16
Family volume
$63.7M
Best sibling
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028: Elon Musk 1¢
Ticker
KXSPACEXMARS-30
Price history
31¢ current
+2¢Orderbook snapshot
28 / 32¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If SpaceX lands anything on Mars before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2030
Identifier
KXSPACEXMARS-30
Event family
Tech / IPO.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$63.7M
Outcomes
16
Highest price
SpaceX 94¢
Current share
0%
Before 2030
kalshi · KXSPACEXMARS-30
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028: Elon Musk
polymarket · 0xfbb80ea5f8fc02ee7df8bd4f58790e1d04b874078a49a7b7028a74a2075100c9
Presidential Election Winner 2028: Elon Musk
polymarket · 0x68e3c4e0dd8f82d010060032006fd157401b0bd8e04bd2953ae293e31eb99bf6
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair
polymarket · 0xb740ce80109379eff6b906889bcc5e8e801c221a11a52dbad6e7f965a825bc78
Tesla
polymarket · 0xf1ed2e6df582b055e94b3ff00b9dce996af9f04c5cc67e9a6fbfef487169c0e7
$SEX
polymarket · 0xafb67293d7e12d87cf4ba22e4eb89f1eea353b11c6febaf6b9832213c4529367
NVIDIA
polymarket · 0x79afea6a94f0b3dffb5e0886fa1dbd740d688029f7aba351dc46911bcb1b1f95
$STAR
polymarket · 0x0d8880457a80d5216bc5359f7de1e99a83adff0f0e39616cfa57dec28033a077
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap: 2.5T-3.0T
polymarket · 0xe51f231db21003948460569107975a20ed138b642b2952c4f0798da8c64d8591
$SPACE
polymarket · 0xfe6827bd1917f702f1858bec56fc431753cce59b92e93cdba8a60fd1730d5b02
Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026: Elon Musk
polymarket · 0x97115010af13666600dc8776dce48290f5c4c23d387a86a97f6b4b38561dd5af
$SPC
polymarket · 0x95ec4d4bd3a7eef1232d4c2fbcd95d8fbe77a16d382615941fcdd9e30e3b7e3f
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes): 1T+
polymarket · 0xdafaa73301e394d19a14c3f1b220d3e27eee7cc042fe4e694c102ba9292ec49e
SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes): No IPO before 2028
polymarket · 0xa53fdef6047fbcdd3bf305ad19851a3bcf28eda72bdd31039f45cb8fa379f747
$X
polymarket · 0xb2f7dc9439fde732c0586302b1be0d46bc41a917e5338b8924b3557be944dcef
SpaceX
polymarket · 0xc8a898fa8ce2121e3bba1ee52120ed8ab4f8ea7ed5a6dcd9b138fe7b9e454c0b
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
scientific
Odds pages
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