SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 2027243 days left

Will Taylor Swift be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

This contract is priced at 27¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 27¢ bid, 36¢ ask, 9¢ spread.

Implied probability

27¢
$345 volume
$237 liquidity
3450% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$10

Best sibling

Bad Bunny 41¢

Ticker

KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-TAY

Price history

27¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 12, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

27 / 36¢

Kalshi
9¢ spread
BidSize
27¢5
26¢200
8¢74
6¢48
2¢1.0K
AskSize
36¢200
73¢248
74¢292
99¢200

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Taylor Swift is on the The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-TAY

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

406.3%

IY (No)

55.6%

Adj IY

203%

CRI

3

Overround

5.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

high

Event type

cultural

Full indicator table

406.3%
55.6%
Adj IY
203%
3
Overround
5.0%

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