SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 2027243 days left

Will Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson be on The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before 2027?

This contract is priced at 58¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 47¢ bid, 57¢ ask, 10¢ spread.

Implied probability

58¢
$300 volume
$160 liquidity
2997% of event volume

Event outcomes

16

Family volume

$10

Best sibling

Bad Bunny 41¢

Ticker

KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-DWA

Price history

58¢ current

+8¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 8, 2026May 3, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

47 / 57¢

Kalshi
10¢ spread
BidSize
100¢200
47¢5
46¢200
18¢84
15¢393
AskSize
57¢200
93¢156
96¢1.4K
99¢200

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If Dwayne “The Rock” Johnson is on the The Tonight Show Starring Jimmy Fallon before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXMEDIAGUESTFALLON-27-DWA

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

169.5%

IY (No)

133.3%

Adj IY

85%

CRI

1

Overround

5.0%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Observability

high

Event type

cultural

Full indicator table

169.5%
133.3%
Adj IY
85%
1
Overround
5.0%

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