Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 10 Gwei before 2027
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 10 Gwei before 2027 is priced at 48¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 4¢ bid, 92¢ ask, 88¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
48¢ current
+19¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the average monthly Ethereum gas price is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the dashboard available at https://dune.com/nibty/eth-gas-prices, using the “mean_gas” value displayed in the “Gas Prices Monthly Average” tab. This market will resolve as soon as a finalized average monthly gas price shown on the dashboard is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the value for December 2026 is finalized and no earlier finalized monthly value has met or exceeded that threshold. A monthly value will be considered finalized once the next monthly data point is published. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable crypto data sources.
Outcome
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 10 Gwei before 2027
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
0x9cd09f37...d76a
Jun 19, 2026, 12:23 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
4¢
Ask
92¢
Spread
88¢
Reported volume
$1K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
4 / 92¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the average monthly Ethereum gas price is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title by December 31, 2026 ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market is the dashboard available at https://dune.com/nibty/eth-gas-prices, using the “mean_gas” value displayed in the “Gas Prices Monthly Average” tab. This market will resolve as soon as a finalized average monthly gas price shown on the dashboard is equal to or greater than the value specified in the title, or once the value for December 2026 is finalized and no earlier finalized monthly value has met or exceeded that threshold. A monthly value will be considered finalized once the next monthly data point is published. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, the market will resolve based on other reliable crypto data sources.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
0x9cd09f37…d76a
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will the average monthly Ethereum gas price hit 10 Gwei before 2027 48¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.