Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $2.49 on Apr 30?
Prediction markets currently give a 93% probability that Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $2.49 on Apr 30?. This contract trades at 93¢ on Kalshi, closing May 1, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero 24-hour volume and only $115 open interest, making the 93¢ price potentially unreliable.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity and pricing dysfunction with zero 24-hour volume and only $115 open interest, making the 93¢ price potentially unreliable. The 7-day collapse from 78¢ to 1¢ followed by a recovery to 93¢ suggests recent repricing, while the absurd 42,770% implied yield on the No side indicates the market is pricing in near-certain Yes resolution despite minimal trading activity. With 11 days to expiry and a high cliff risk index of 13, this appears to be a thin, illiquid market where the extreme probabilities should be treated with significant skepticism.
Resolution rules
If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $2.49 on Apr 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXH200MON-26APR30-2.490 yes 100