Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $2.55 on Apr 30?
Prediction markets currently give a 68% probability that Will the H200 compute per hour price be above $2.55 on Apr 30?. This contract trades at 68¢ on Kalshi, closing May 1, 2026. The market is pricing in a 68% probability that H200 compute pricing stays above $2.55/hour by late April 2026, but the $0 24-hour volume and extreme 99¢ spread signal severe illiquidity—this is essentially a dead market with minimal real price discovery.
Analysis
The market is pricing in a 68% probability that H200 compute pricing stays above $2.55/hour by late April 2026, but the $0 24-hour volume and extreme 99¢ spread signal severe illiquidity—this is essentially a dead market with minimal real price discovery. The astronomical implied yields (1464% for Yes, 6610% for No) reflect the tiny open interest of just $434, making these returns theoretical rather than actionable, and the sharp 15¢ price rally over seven days may indicate thin-market noise rather than genuine conviction about H200 pricing trajectories.
Resolution rules
If the value of H200 compute per hour is above $2.55 on Apr 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXH200MON-26APR30-2.550 yes 100