Will the high temp in Chicago be 50-51° on May 1, 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 97% probability that Will the high temp in Chicago be 50-51° on May 1, 2026?. This contract trades at 97¢ on Kalshi, closing May 2, 2026.
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97¢Bid/Ask 96/97¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $27,007.85·OI $14,663.05·Closes May 2, 2026·0d remaining
KXHIGHCHI-26MAY01-B50.5
7-day price138 snapshots · 14 regime
98¢96¢ current
Apr 305¢May 1
Resolution rules
If the highest temperature recorded at Chicago Midway, IL for May 01, 2026, is between 50-51° according to the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
▶ Full indicator table (7)▼ Full indicator table (7)
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Adj IY | 98940% |
| CRI | 16 |
| RV | 3984% |
| VR | 1.50 |
| IAR | 4.7/h |
| Overround | 0.0% |
| LAS | 0.01 |
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
5/1/2026, 7:17:37 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 5/1/2026, 7:08:09 PM
Trade
View on kalshi →
sf trade KXHIGHCHI-26MAY01-B50.5 yes 100