What is the current probability for "Will the **high temp in LA** be 72-73° on May 1, 2026?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 18¢ (18% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 2, 2026. 1 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will the **high temp in LA** be 72-73° on May 1, 2026?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 100000.0% and 12995.1% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will the **high temp in LA** be 72-73° on May 1, 2026?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will the high temp in LA be 72-73° on May 1, 2026?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 18% probability that Will the **high temp in LA** be 72-73° on May 1, 2026?. This contract trades at 18¢ on Kalshi, closing May 2, 2026.

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18¢

Bid/Ask 12/16¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $46,623.45·OI $24,978.06·Closes May 2, 2026·1d remaining

KXHIGHLAX-26MAY01-B72.5

7-day price152 snapshots · 14 regime

41¢8¢ current

Apr 306¢May 1

Resolution rules

If the highest temperature recorded in Los Angeles Airport, CA for May 01, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 72-73°, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) >100,000%

IY (No) 12995.1%

Adj IY 75000%

CRI 5

RV 3967%

VR 0.84

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	>100,000%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	12995.1%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	75000%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	3967%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	0.84	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	5.2/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
LAS	0.25	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

taker

Score

0.636

Spread

4¢

Computed

5/1/2026, 7:15:34 PM

Observability directEvent type weather

Has orderbookIndicators computed 5/1/2026, 7:08:09 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXHIGHLAX-26MAY01-B72.5 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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