What is the current probability for "Will the **high temp in NYC** be 66-67° on May 1, 2026?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 28¢ (28% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 2, 2026. 0 days remaining.

Where can I trade "Will the **high temp in NYC** be 66-67° on May 1, 2026?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will the high temp in NYC be 66-67° on May 1, 2026?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 28% probability that Will the **high temp in NYC** be 66-67° on May 1, 2026?. This contract trades at 28¢ on Kalshi, closing May 2, 2026.

███████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░

28¢

Bid/Ask 29/31¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $32,350.91·OI $18,053.39·Closes May 2, 2026·0d remaining

KXHIGHNY-26MAY01-B66.5

7-day price161 snapshots · 16 regime

44¢25¢ current

Apr 3012¢May 1

Resolution rules

If the highest temperature recorded in Central Park, New York for May 01, 2026 as reported by the National Weather Service's Climatological Report (Daily), is between 66-67°, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Adj IY 97220%

CRI 2

RV 3025%

VR 0.56

IAR 5.5/h

LAS 0.03

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
Adj IY	97220%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	3025%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	0.56	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	5.5/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
LAS	0.03	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

2¢

Computed

5/1/2026, 7:18:00 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 5/1/2026, 7:08:09 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXHIGHNY-26MAY01-B66.5 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →