Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 25249.85 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?
This contract is priced at 71¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 71¢ bid, 71¢ ask, 0¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
1
Family volume
$66K
Best sibling
—
Ticker
KXNASDAQ100POS-26DEC31H1600-T25249.85
Market snapshot
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 25249.85 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 25249.85 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST?. The displayed quote is 71¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports 24h volume of $107. It is currently represented as a standalone prediction-market contract. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 11, 2026, 8:53 PM UTC.
Outcome
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 25249.85 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST
Family rank
—
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
71¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Dec 31, 2026
24h volume
$107
Family context
Standalone contract
Quote range
—
Family leader
—
Last updated
May 11, 2026, 8:53 PM UTC · 3m ago
Venue identifier: KXNASDAQ100POS-26DEC31H1600-T25249.85. Family volume: $66K.
Price history
71¢ current
+19¢Orderbook snapshot
71 / 71¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the Nasdaq 100 index value on Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST is above 25249.85, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
KXNASDAQ100POS-26DEC31H1600-T25249.85
Event family
This market.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$66K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 25249.85 at the end of Dec 31, 2026 at 4pm EST 71¢
Current share
100%
Browse this series
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
financial
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SimpleFunctions context
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Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
Filter adjacent contracts by volume, expiry, IY, CRI, venue, and theme.
Event Probability API
Read 71% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
Prices, orderbooks, movement, heat, and liquidity indicators across venues.
World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
Map a thesis or exposure to candidate event markets and monitoring paths.
How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.