Will the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts be above 6000000000 for fiscal year 2026?
This contract is priced at 4¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 4¢ bid, 5¢ ask, 1¢ spread.
Implied probability
Event outcomes
7
Family volume
$0
Best sibling
Above $1M 79¢
Ticker
KXCOMMGIFTS-26SEP30-T6000000000
Market snapshot
Above $6B in market context.
This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts be above 6000000000 for fiscal year 2026?. The displayed quote is 4¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $3K. In the Will the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts be above family, this outcome ranks #7 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 13, 2026, 10:23 AM UTC.
Outcome
Above $6B
Family rank
#7 of 7
Venue
Kalshi
Current quote
4¢
Quote source
Latest venue quote
Timing
Listed until Jan 1, 2027
Reported volume
$3K
Family context
7 outcomes · Will the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts be above
Quote range
4¢-79¢
Family leader
Above $1M 79¢
Last updated
May 13, 2026, 10:23 AM UTC · 5m ago
Venue identifier: KXCOMMGIFTS-26SEP30-T6000000000. Family volume: —.
Price history
4¢ current
+2¢Orderbook snapshot
4 / 5¢
Contract terms
Resolution, venue, and identifiers.
Resolution rules
If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 6000000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXCOMMGIFTS-26SEP30-T6000000000
Event family
Will the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts be above.
This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Above $1M 79¢
Current share
—
Above $6B
kalshi · KXCOMMGIFTS-26SEP30-T6000000000
Above $1M
kalshi · KXCOMMGIFTS-26SEP30-T1000000
Above $10M
kalshi · KXCOMMGIFTS-26SEP30-T10000000
Above $100M
kalshi · KXCOMMGIFTS-26SEP30-T100000000
Above $1B
kalshi · KXCOMMGIFTS-26SEP30-T1000000000
Above $2B
kalshi · KXCOMMGIFTS-26SEP30-T2000000000
Above $4B
kalshi · KXCOMMGIFTS-26SEP30-T4000000000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.