Total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts above 1000000 for fiscal year 2026
Above $1M is priced at 95¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 89¢ bid, 98¢ ask, 9¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 7 inside Will the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts be above.
Price history
95¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 1000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Above $1M
Rank
#1 of 7
Leader
Above $1M 89¢
Range
2¢-89¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXCOMMGIFTS-26SEP30-T1000000
Jun 24, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 15m ago
Implied probability
Bid
89¢
Ask
98¢
Spread
9¢
Reported volume
$1K
Family rank
#1 of 7
7 outcomes · Will the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts be above
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
89 / 98¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 1000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2027
Identifier
KXCOMMGIFTS-26SEP30-T1000000
Event family
Will the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts be above.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
7
Highest price
Above $1M 89¢
Current share
—
Above $1M
kalshi · KXCOMMGIFTS-26SEP30-T1000000
Above $10M
kalshi · KXCOMMGIFTS-26SEP30-T10000000
Above $100M
kalshi · KXCOMMGIFTS-26SEP30-T100000000
Above $1B
kalshi · KXCOMMGIFTS-26SEP30-T1000000000
Above $2B
kalshi · KXCOMMGIFTS-26SEP30-T2000000000
Above $4B
kalshi · KXCOMMGIFTS-26SEP30-T4000000000
Above $6B
kalshi · KXCOMMGIFTS-26SEP30-T6000000000
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.568
Observability
high
Event type
data_release
Full indicator table
Odds pages
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.