SimpleFunctions
KalshiJan 1, 2027237 days left

Will the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts be above 2000000000 for fiscal year 2026?

This contract is priced at 10¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 11¢ ask, 1¢ spread.

Implied probability

10¢
$2K volume
$1K liquidity
122900% of event volume

Event outcomes

7

Family volume

$2

Best sibling

Above $100M 25¢

Ticker

KXCOMMGIFTS-26SEP30-T2000000000

Market snapshot

Above $2B in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts be above 2000000000 for fiscal year 2026?. The displayed quote is 10¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $2K. In the Will the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts be above family, this outcome ranks #5 of 7 by current quote across 7 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC.

Outcome

Above $2B

Family rank

#5 of 7

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

10¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 1, 2027

Reported volume

$2K

Family context

7 outcomes · Will the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts be above

Quote range

4¢-93¢

Family leader

Above $1M 93¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:53 AM UTC · 8m ago

Venue identifier: KXCOMMGIFTS-26SEP30-T2000000000. Family volume: $2.

Price history

10¢ current

+8¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
May 4, 2026May 6, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 11¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
10¢3.5K
8¢10
6¢500
3¢335
2¢2.9K
AskSize
11¢3.8K
13¢7
14¢1.0K
58¢158
59¢2.2K

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts is above 2000000000 for fiscal year 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXCOMMGIFTS-26SEP30-T2000000000

Event family

Will the total amount of Department of Commerce gifts and bequests receipts, including Trump Gold Card Program receipts be above.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$2

Outcomes

7

Highest price

Above $1M 93¢

Current share

0%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1383.9%

IY (No)

17.1%

Adj IY

692%

CRI

9

Overround

1.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1383.9%
17.1%
Adj IY
692%
9
Overround
1.3%

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