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KalshiJan 1, 2027237 days left

Will Trump pardon above 999 people before Jan 1, 2027?

This contract is priced at 21¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 13¢ bid, 21¢ ask, 8¢ spread.

Implied probability

21¢
$592 volume
$374 liquidity

Event outcomes

5

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

25 to 49 1¢

Ticker

KXPARDONSYEAR-26DEC-999

Market snapshot

1000 or more in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Trump pardon above 999 people before Jan 1, 2027?. The displayed quote is 21¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $592. In the Will Trump pardon family, this outcome ranks #3 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC.

Outcome

1000 or more

Family rank

#3 of 5

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

21¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 1, 2027

Reported volume

$592

Family context

5 outcomes · Will Trump pardon

Quote range

1¢-24¢

Family leader

100 to 499 24¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 8:23 AM UTC · 3m ago

Venue identifier: KXPARDONSYEAR-26DEC-999. Family volume: .

Price history

21¢ current

+3¢
25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 16, 2026May 7, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

13 / 21¢

Kalshi
8¢ spread
BidSize
13¢100
11¢200
2¢381
2¢52
2¢33
AskSize
21¢100
22¢200
35¢10
45¢50
63¢460

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to above 999 persons after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXPARDONSYEAR-26DEC-999

Event family

Will Trump pardon.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

5

Highest price

100 to 499 24¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1029.5%

IY (No)

23.0%

Adj IY

515%

CRI

7

Overround

-0.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1029.5%
23.0%
Adj IY
515%
7
Overround
-0.3%

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