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KalshiJan 1, 2027237 days left

Will Trump pardon between 100 and 499 people before Jan 1, 2027?

This contract is priced at 24¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 24¢ bid, 29¢ ask, 5¢ spread.

Implied probability

24¢
$1K volume
$548 liquidity

Event outcomes

5

Family volume

$0

Best sibling

25 to 49 1¢

Ticker

KXPARDONSYEAR-26DEC-299

Market snapshot

100 to 499 in market context.

This page tracks the Kalshi contract for Will Trump pardon between 100 and 499 people before Jan 1, 2027?. The displayed quote is 24¢ from the latest venue quote. The cached market record reports reported volume of $1K. In the Will Trump pardon family, this outcome ranks #1 of 5 by current quote across 5 sibling outcomes. The indicator bundle was refreshed May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC.

Outcome

100 to 499

Family rank

#1 of 5

Venue

Kalshi

Current quote

24¢

Quote source

Latest venue quote

Timing

Listed until Jan 1, 2027

Reported volume

$1K

Family context

5 outcomes · Will Trump pardon

Quote range

1¢-24¢

Family leader

100 to 499 24¢

Last updated

May 9, 2026, 5:08 AM UTC · 6m ago

Venue identifier: KXPARDONSYEAR-26DEC-299. Family volume: .

Price history

24¢ current

25¢50¢75¢100¢
Apr 18, 2026May 6, 2026

Orderbook snapshot

24 / 29¢

Kalshi
5¢ spread
BidSize
24¢100
22¢200
21¢50
17¢10
4¢665
AskSize
29¢87
30¢16
32¢100
33¢200
87¢250

Contract terms

Resolution, venue, and identifiers.

Resolution rules

If the President pardons, commutes the sentence of, or gives reprieve to between 100 and 499 persons after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jan 1, 2027

Identifier

KXPARDONSYEAR-26DEC-299

Event family

Will Trump pardon.

This view keeps the individual contract next to its sibling outcomes. For long-tail search traffic, this is the useful context: where the current price sits inside the event, how much volume exists around the family, and which outcomes have actual depth.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

5

Highest price

100 to 499 24¢

Current share

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

486.8%

IY (No)

48.6%

Adj IY

243%

CRI

3

Overround

-0.3%

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

486.8%
48.6%
Adj IY
243%
3
Overround
-0.3%

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