Low Energy · Will Trump say "
Low Energy is priced at 37¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 34¢ bid, 36¢ ask, 2¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 9 inside Will Trump say ".
Price history
37¢ current
+4¢Contract brief
If Low Energy, or a plural or possessive form of Low Energy, is stated by Donald Trump before Jul 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Low Energy
Rank
#3 of 9
Leader
Con Job 72¢
Range
14¢-72¢
Family volume
$1K
Identifier
KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26JUL01-LOWE
May 25, 2026, 10:38 AM UTC · 8m ago
Implied probability
Bid
34¢
Ask
36¢
Spread
2¢
24h volume
$164
Family rank
#3 of 9
9 outcomes · Will Trump say "
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Family volume
$1K
Orderbook snapshot
34 / 36¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Low Energy, or a plural or possessive form of Low Energy, is stated by Donald Trump before Jul 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jul 1, 2026
Identifier
KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26JUL01-LOWE
Event family
Will Trump say ".
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$1K
Outcomes
9
Highest price
Con Job 72¢
Current share
12%
Con Job
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26JUL01-CON
Marjorie Traitor Greene
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26JUL01-MARJ
Low Energy
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26JUL01-LOWE
Rocket Man
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26JUL01-ROCK
Crazy Bernie
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26JUL01-CRAZ
Tampon Tim
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26JUL01-TAMP
Little Communist
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26JUL01-LITT
Biden Crime Family
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26JUL01-BIDE
Comrade Kamala
kalshi · KXTRUMPSAYNICKNAME-26JUL01-COMR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.341
Observability
low
Event type
political
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.